Mutual Fund SIP verses Lump Sum Investment
– Let us YOU choose wisely..!
SIP – Current Review
SIP is a famous word. Many investors start SIP
with high
expectation. In the last two years,
many more fund houses and intermediaries,
encouraged investors to have SIP based investments.
Have their expectations been met?
If we evaluate SIP’s
performance in this fallen market,
then the obvious answer would be ‘NO’.
Should we feel bad for the fate of SIP?
Not really, instead it would be good
to
understand what SIP actually is!
Due to the fall in markets, the profits we get out
of SIP is
also falling.
The best Equity funds 1-year SIP return
percentage ranges from
-5% to -15%.
The returns from the other funds might
be even lesser than this
which is
clear from the table shown below.
Is this the outcome that we envisioned while we invested?
Certainly not, our expectation was that SIP is a
Superstar plan and there was
no way that it
can produce losses.
But in reality, the return numbers
returned
by SIP is lower than the ones we expected.
SIP vs Lumpsum
Some people are now thinking that
they should have invested in
Lumpsum instead of SIP.
It’s like the saying “The grass is always greener on the other side of the fence”.
The closer we go, the
dangers of Lumpsum becomes visible.
To understand SIP and Lumpsum,
we also
need to take a closer look at Lifestyle practices.
In some situations, you
might not be able to
invest in Lumpsum plans. For instance,
a monthly
salaried person who wishes to
invest small amounts in mutual funds
every
month might find it comfortable
to invest in a SIP plan.
Similarly, when you
have the money
readily available to invest in a
Lumpsum fashion, it is not
advantageous to invest in
a SIP based plan.
In this market fallen times, it
would be more profitable
if we invest through the Lumpsum option.
When we
have enough money in hand,
we shouldn’t be adamant
that we will invest only
through SIP.
In the coming months and years,
if the market keeps fluctuating,
then SIP mode might be suitable.
Example to understand better
The following table gives, returns for investment
done for same
amount and same duration
via Lump sum and SIP.
Let us keep in mind, in lump
sum,
the money is with fund house for more time,
where as in SIP, money is
paid in installments –
hence return varies. For simplicity purpose,
we have
taken the returns for the amount
invested with fund only.
(See the blue
shaded first case in the table, for
SIP absolute market value is less =
162707
but annual return is more = 10.10%,
whereas in lump sum,
absolute
market value is more = 172451
but return is less = 6.5% this
is because in lump sum,
invested amount is more time in the fund than sip,
but created less return, because investment
started when market was
trending
higher vale –Sensex 29220)
Fund used for comparison = Axis Blue-chip Fund - Growth
SIP amount per month = Rs 3,000
Return calculations till 12/11/2018
Current Sensex = 34812 (on the day of return calculation)
Some important points
that we need to know about SIP
·
SIP is not isolated from the falling markets.
Profit
and Loss is part of the market.
SIP can lead to losses too.
·
During current market weakness,
we should not stop
investing in
SIP based plans.
SIP investments can turn out good
during
fluctuating markets.
·
One thing that was evident from the table is,
even
when SIP posted negative 1-year returns,
its 5-year returns looked to be in
good shape.
·
During the SIP time period itself,
we can invest in
the same plan on a
Lumpsum option at least once.
This one has a chance of
turning profitable.
There is nothing wrong in this and
need not worry about
it.
·
Investing in the peak times
SIP is better than lump
sum –
first case in the table with light blue shade
·
SIP in rising market will not give better returns,
lump sum at the beginning of rising market
will give good returns – refer
Last case in the table –
light green shade.
·
There are two kinds of investment options.
Based on
the situation and the amount
of money we are willing to invest,
we can invest
in either of the options.
It is very hard to predict or conclude
which option
is the best for each time period.
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NOV 2018
» Mutual Fund SIP verses Lump Sum Investment – Let us YOU choose wisely..! Radha Consultancy
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