Share Market falls:
Caution Required in
Debt Mutual fund Investments
by Mr. Meenakshi Sundaram Kannan,
Mutual Fund Expert, Chennai.
Indian Market fall
Mumbai Stock Exchange (BSE)’s Sensex moved from 38896 to 36227.
Nearly 3000 points drop within a month.
Equity mutual fund and equity investors are impacted by this
fall.
The important truth is Debt Mutual Fund is also not doing well
in the last one year.
Whenever there is a market crash, what comes to everyone's mind
is Bombay Stock Exchange or National Stock Exchange. But only very few
understand there is also another market available for exchanging debt
instruments.
That is Debt Market. This market is also undergoing turmoil
recently.
See the table given below.
Morningstar Category
|
Category Average
|
Top Performer
|
Bottom Performer
|
10 yr Government Bond
|
1.57
|
3.82
|
-2.45
|
Banking & PSU
|
4.04
|
5.8
|
2.92
|
Corporate Bond
|
3.18
|
6.13
|
-1.19
|
Credit Risk
|
3.99
|
5.92
|
-0.65
|
Dynamic Bond
|
1.38
|
7.2
|
-1
|
Floating Rate
|
5.54
|
6.15
|
3.35
|
Government Bond
|
-0.4
|
2.35
|
-5.3
|
Long Duration
|
-0.35
|
-0.32
|
-0.38
|
Low Duration
|
5.85
|
6.81
|
4.63
|
Medium Duration
|
3.33
|
6.76
|
1.63
|
Medium to Long Duration
|
0.08
|
2.33
|
-1.25
|
Money Market
|
6.59
|
7.24
|
5.15
|
Short Duration
|
4.04
|
6.19
|
0.88
|
Ultra Short Duration
|
5.86
|
7.41
|
-0.94
|
Most of the debt funds under different categories are not doing
well and their one-year return is below the bank deposits rates.
It comes as an absolute shock to the investor who moved from
bank deposits to debt mutual funds. Let’s understand what exactly is
happening for debt mutual fund investors.
Debt Markets are in turmoil - The trigger
Recently DSP mutual fund, to improve their liquidity sold their
Debt instruments of DHFL in the market at Deep discount. This created panic in
the equity market as well as debt market. On that day DHFL share lost more than
50% and their NCD are now quoting at Discount to their face value.
So, what are the reasons for the Debt market NAV’s poor
performance? Let’s first understand the basic factors affecting debt
instruments. In contrast to the popular belief that debt funds are completely
safe, debt instruments are affected by 2 or 3 major risk factors. They are
credit risk, interest rate risk and liquidity risk
1.
Credit
risk is associated
with mostly corporate lendings. When corporate is unable to pay interest or
principal or both to the lender, the lender loses the money. This risk is
always there, and it is very high with respect to corporate bonds and NCD’s.
2.
Interest
Rate risk originates due
to Government of India/Reserve Bank of India increasing or decreasing interest
rate which will affect 10 year Government of India bonds and other Government
of India bonds.
3.
Liquidity
risk is where we are
not able to sell or buy debt instruments at the desired price in the required
time.
All these risks affect debt instruments performance. Because of
IL&FS fiasco, whoever invested in their debt instruments got affected.
Debt mutual funds having IL&FS or its group debt papers got
a major blow in their NAV.
It is very clear that in the last one year Government of India
10 year bond yield moved from 6.8% to 8.05% .
The price of a bond is
inversely proportional to the interest rate, hence when the interest rate rises
most of the long duration scheme funds get affected because of the drop-in bond
prices.
Due to the IL & FS fiasco most investors who invested in
ILFS, started redeeming their holdings, which created liquidity crunch with
mutual funds. This has created DSP to force sell DHFL papers at deep discount,
creating panic as mentioned earlier. This episode created panic in market and
market is hammering all NBFC in turn.
In the current scenario, mutual fund investor should understand
debt investment is also subject to market risk. As per SEBI classification,
debt fund category Which is called corporate risk fund, credit risk fund
etc are taking undue credit risk.
Investor should understand this and invest in this fund only if
it is acceptable to the credit risk. Do not lure into these funds because of
better return points. Slight increase in return comes with loads of credit
risk.
In the entire episode of market fall, DHFL NCD, whose face value
is Rs 1000 is quoting around Rs 900 - 950, giving good yield. Those who are
confident that DHFL will do well in future and will not default can buy this
NCD in market. Contrary investing - those who are unsure and want to stay away
from financials, keep distance and not to enter this space and invest only
liquid or ultra-short term funds.
About the author
Mr. Meenakshi sundaram Kannan is financial Consultant for 20+ years. Provide unbiased quality investment advice. Passionate writer & teacher.
For more details https://radhaconsultancy.blogspot.com/
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