Decoding The Indian Luxury Housing Story..!
by Mr. Anuj Puri, JLLR
Luxury housing in India is the proverbial sitting duck
for target practice in the shooting gallery that is the Indian residential
property sector. Market pundits and the media never get tired of takingpotshots at
it, and claiming that this segment has got run out - even though Indian luxury
housing is actually something of a newbie on the pitch and still has very long
innings ahead of it.
Maybe the fact that there are a lot of wealthy people in a
country with so much poverty strikes some as an aberration, rather than a
reason for pride.
Nevertheless, it is a hard fact that within the Asia
Pacific region, India has the fourth-largest population of millionaires with
about 2.36 lakh individuals who fall firmly in the high net worth category.
In
the Forbes list of the 'World's Billionaires' for 2017, India accounts for an
impressive 101.
Super-Luxury – In A Class Of Its Own..!
These are the people who buy or build homes which fall
squarely in the super-luxury category of housing.
Their homes can be found in every
major city's ritziest locations, towering over the rooftops of older buildings
in the priciest areas of land-starved cities like Mumbai, or in serene estates
sprawled across generous acres of prime land in cities like Delhi, Pune and
Bangalore.
What bears noting here is that these homes are not
even counted in any census of luxury housing units in the country - they are
clearly in a class of their own, and not part of any inventory that will ever
hit the market and be up for grabs.
Luxury Housing – Where The Real Action
Is..!
Taking a broader market perspective, luxury housing in
India refers to the category of homes which are bought by people who do not
necessarily come from 'old wealth' but have often managed to rise above the
'middle class' median by dint of entrepreneurial success, savvy investments,
sheer hard work - or, in some cases, financial windfalls.
They represent the
nouveau riche category of Indians who are on the lookout for housing which
gives them a great lifestyle and also reflects their success in life.
In India, luxury or premium housing - as opposed to
super-luxury housing - is the category of homes which caters to this demand.
The buyers of such housing are often in their late 40s
or early 50s and still quite active professionally. Often having earned their
money the hard way, they may not be willing to cough up massive premiums for
snob-value addresses. They do prefer locations which offer quick connectivity
to their places of work.
An illustration of 'location value' in this context is
in order here.
The IT-Fueled Luxury Homes Genre..!
When India witnessed its IT boom, it quickly became
evident that software companies see sense in setting up shop in areas with
lower land rates or lease rentals, as their operations do not depend on
proximity to CBDs or even SBDs.
Nevertheless, the pay packages they offered to
appropriately trained personnel were unheard-of in India, and suddenly there
were a lot of very wealthy young people at large.
They worked odd hours which were usually aligned to US
time zones and were on the market for high-end homes which provided fast access
to their workplaces as well as a relaxed, modern lifestyle for them and their
families.
Developers were quick to identify this opportunity and
began churning out premium housing projects around such hubs, giving rise to an
entirely new crop of luxury locations which derived their value from
performance rather than from snob value.
A View of the Future..!
Today, luxury housing in India is still very much a
work in progress, but the segment has made giant strides in transforming and
keeping pace with the rising expectations of the well-heeled and well-travelled
in terms of global standards of luxury and comfort. Also, with every passing
year, more Indians are joining the ranks of the wealthy and are automatically
on the market for luxury homes.
If we go by the absorption rates of luxury housing
over the last three years, we can see that while the uptake of such units is
not spectacular by any yardstick, it remains steady - and, despite the ominous
warnings, it remains steady as ever, even showing signs of definite growth.
High-End Sales Data
|
Units Sold 2014
|
Units Sold 2015
|
Units Sold 2016
|
India
(Mumbai/Delhi-NCR/Bangalore)
|
10,200
|
10,100
|
11,000
|
The luxury housing sector took a big hit with Mr.Narendra Modi's
unexpected move to demonetize high-denomination currency because a
not-insignificant number of transactions in this category had large cash
components.
Nevertheless, such transactions were largely by speculators and
people hoping to hide their unaccounted wealth in real estate - not genuine end
users.
The real estate market has now recovered from the
demonetization shock - and, in fact, looks primed for a rebound on the back of
the transparency and regulated market practices that RERA is likely to bring in
its wake. In fact, all housing segments are geared for recovery with RERA
eliminating fly-by-night developers, raising the bar on developer's
accountability and enforcing strict financial and completion timeline
protocols.
It may appear that Indian luxury housing developers
have over-estimated the demand for their offerings. However, it must be
understood that most of these builders are seasoned long-term players with
their sights trained not only on current but also future demand.
As already
stated, the buyers for modern luxury homes tend to be professionally active,
which is why the demand for luxury housing in India is closely wired into the
country's economic performance.
On that front, things have been looking up for some
time now. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) had cut India's GDP growth
forecast to 6.6% in January 2017, immediately after the demonetization move.
In
April, it revised its outlook for 2017-18 to 7.2%. With RERA in place, GST
holding the promise of a unified taxation regime and various other policy
measures by the incumbent Government bearing visible fruit, there is indeed
every reason to expect the Indian economy to floor the accelerator over the
next few years. This means that demand for luxury housing will grow, as well.
About the author..
Mr. Anuj Puri, Chairman - JLLR (JLL Residential)
Media Relations – JLLR (JLL Residential)
Arun Chitnis
Mobile: +91 9657129999
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