When
to Exit a Mutual Fund that
We have Recommended to Our Clients Before - My
perspective..
By Mr. B.
Padmanaban, CFPCM
Certified Financial
Planner
The biggest challenge for today's IFA is when to exit the mutual
fund?
Suppose, if I exit the fund now, if it suddenly
started
performing how to face the Investor / client.
We can not be all the time right on our decision,
but when we
do the home work, we will be more right than wrong for sure.
Fund Name
|
Avg Market
Cap Rs. Cr
|
No. of
Stocks
|
AUM in
2013 Rs.Cr
|
AUM in 2016
(Sep) Rs.CR
|
Aum
Growth %
|
UTI Midcap
|
10,438
|
87
|
245
|
3,605
|
1371%
|
Mirae Asset
Emerging
Bluechip
|
14,266
|
64
|
157
|
2,253
|
1335%
|
SBI Magnum
Midcap
|
7,836
|
53
|
185
|
2,511
|
1257%
|
HDFC Midcap
Opportunities
|
12,722
|
73
|
2,802
|
12,470
|
345%
|
IDFC Premier
Equity
|
12,730
|
52
|
3,448
|
6,308
|
83%
|
First and foremost,
last 3 to 5 Years performance is very important
than 10 to 20 years, why
because the market is always dynamic.
Whether the fund manager is able to cope with the
current
environment is very important.
Secondly, how each year the
fund is performing,
is it started deteriorating or / consistent or / highly
volatile,
this can be only seen with the last 5 years data for sure.
Thirdly, the average market
caps of the mutual fund versus
how many stocks in the portfolio also
important.
Higher the average market caps will definitely give less
volatile,
if somebody really looking for less volatile in
the mid-cap space
as well.
|
B. Padmanaban, CFP |
Fourthly, whether the fund is
continuously getting
an inflow or not is very important.
The fund which is not doing well will not get the client
mind-share.
If the fund is not added any inflow after 2013 close,
the
minimum returns these funds generated is double.
If the fund is generated
only 100% means no inflow!!!
Whether we continuously recommending or not the
overall investing community is not interested anymore!!!
Finally, year on year (Rolling Returns)
whether this fund is
performing with the peer group
or / too much of divergence among the peer,
one needs to really look into.
In the current scenario any mid-cap mutual funds
should be in
a position to take in flow of up to Rs. 10,000 Crore.
If some fund is restricting the inflow, it should
have
outperformed compared to the peer group.
All the funds are categorized
by
Mid-cap by Value Research online.
Look at the expense ratio, the fund which is
most consistent
is having the higher
expense ratio which means expense ratio is
the last
thing one should look into when they decided the fund.
Unfortunately, everyone
is looking for the expense ratio first??
I believe this framework helps you to take a
decision much
better whenever we are giving an exit call!!!
p.s. This is my personal view and I am not
influencing anyone
here. I just wanted to share my thoughts.
B. Padmanaban, CFPCM
Certified Financial
Planner
9884349173
|
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