Mumbai To See Spurt In Office Rental Value
Growth..!
By Mr. Anuj Puri, Chairman
& Country Head, JLL India
As per JLL’s recent Global Real Estate Outlook,
Mumbai’s office space occupiers will have to face upward revisions in rents in
the coming years. Compared to Q2 2015 when Mumbai’s rental values had bottomed
out, the city will now start to see acceleration in its rental value growth
from Q2 2016.
The research tracks rents (in local currency) for
prime Grade-A office spaces in several cities’ CBDs (or their equivalent)
across the globe. It then puts these cities on a ‘rental clock’ representing
the cyclical nature of office rents (see below). In Mumbai, Bandra Kurla Complex
is the de-facto CBD.
Anuj Puri, Chairman & Country Head, JLL India |
The original CBD of Nariman Point long lost out
to newer micro-markets due to the evolving needs of occupiers, which it has not
been able to provide.
Source: JLL
In terms of future upward pressure on office rentals,
Mumbai is in the company of cities like Sydney, Brussels, Paris, Milan,
Amsterdam, Madrid, Chicago and Boston.
In 2Q15, Mumbai’s place on the rental
clock was shared by Paris, Brussels, Istanbul and Washington DC. Out of these
five, Paris saw a drastic acceleration in rental value growth while both
Brussels and Mumbai marched ahead at a slower pace. Washington DC, however,
still remains at the same place as last year. Interestingly, Istanbul is now seeing
rental values of its prime office spaces falling.
Market dynamics
Mumbai, being the financial capital of India, has
traditionally seen a lot of office space take-up by BFSI players and IT/ ITeS
(mostly back-office operations of BFSI firms) in different micro-markets.
Moreover, showing faith in India’s economic growth, many occupiers have been in
expansionary mode.
In a report last year,
JLL had forecast that average city-level rents will continue to rise and that
the city and suburbs will move from being tenant-oriented to being
landlord-oriented after 4-5 quarters. A tenant-driven market indicates
oversupply of office space, falling rents, weak demand and big incentives
available to tenants, whereas a landlord-orientated market indicates limited
supply of office space, rising rents, strong demand and no incentives for
tenants.
As JLL had also pointed out, occupiers
will take up spaces in less ideal locations as good buildings at ideal
locations will fill up quickly on the back of continued demand. Grade-B
buildings in good areas will also see renewed interest from occupiers. If the
state government improves connectivity and takes up more reforms, additional
land parcels in the peripheral areas would open up for residential development
and existing office districts could then see further expansion.
For media contact
Arun Chitnis
Head – Corporate
Communications & Media Relations
JLL India
Level 6, Amar Avinash
Corporate Plaza
Bund Garden Road,
Pune 411001.
Tele: 020 3093 0441 Fax: 020 4019 6101
Mob: +91 96571 29999
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