Retail and high net worth individual (HNI)
investors have been net-sellers of direct equities for the last 18 months since
February 2014.
So far, this 2015 July month, retail and HNI
investors have been net-sellers at Rs. 975 crore, showed cash market data from
stock exchanges.
The risk-return dynamic in the market has turned
unfavourable for investors, making them very nervous about getting into
equities through the direct route, said market men.
In the last 18 months, Indian markets have
returned 34% but with bouts of volatility brought on by the general elections
held in May 2014, the end of the monetary easing policy by the US Federal
Reserve, concerns about an increase in US interest rates, fall in crude oil
prices, slowing growth in China, domestic growth concerns and recently, the
Greek crisis, which threatened to disrupt the Euro and spiraling the world
economy into another depression.
Some of these issues continue to rattle markets,
further aggravating the nervousness and uncertainty in market sentiment.
Equity assets under management in mutual fund
schemes touched about Rs. 4 lakh crore as of June 2015.
Mr. Karan
Datta, Chief Business Officer, Axis Mutual Fund said, “Over the last
one-and-a-half years, inflows from domestic investors have been quite strong
given the market movement. We expect the momentum of inflows to continue going
forward"
Industry experts said the rise of advisers and
fund management professionals have also seen many people shying away from
direct equities.
However, other experts point to the rising
activity ratio in the market. Activity ratio, which refers to the ratio of
active investors to the total investor-base, has been constant for over one
year at about 10% to 12%, up from its lows of three-four per cent about
five years ago.
The heightened activity ratio suggests that
investors are booking profits now, rather than exiting entirely, they said.
“The activity-level in the industry has clearly
gone up, which indicates higher participation by retail investors. The
volatility in the market has resulted in a lot of churning in the market, as
investors book profits. But to say that investors are moving out of direct
equities would be unfair," said Mr. Vinay Agrawal, Executive Director, Angel Broking.
The increase in derivative ticket size is
expected to further weigh on retail participation. The Securities and Exchange
Board of India has recently moved to increase the minimum investment in
derivatives from Rs 2 lakh to Rs 5 lakh.
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