by Mr. Ashutosh Limaye, National Director – Research, JLL India
Average transacted office lease sizes across
Mumbai, Bangalore, Chennai and Pune have increased from the uncertain times
seen in 1Q14 – prior to the general elections.
Market morale was low in 1Q14,
which could explain the lower sizes. Following elections in May 2014, however,
market sentiment improved gradually, while Mumbai, for example, witnessed 65%
appreciation in average deal sizes between 2Q14 and 2Q15.
The number of transactions has also increased
considerably across all these cities. Pune leads with an impressive 89% y-o-y
growth in transacted space per lease deal, followed by Bangalore at 78% and
Chennai at 67%. Good days are returning for office real estate and tenants will
remain in an expansionary mode.
Occupiers are not only leasing larger office
space, but they also expect all the space to be on the same floor. Developers
are constructing bigger floor plates to meet the evolving demand.
While average floor deal sizes are increasing
in the office sector, the residential sector tells a different story. In the
same set of cities, residential developers are under pressure owing to sluggish
sales and cash flow issues. They hit upon a unique way to keep residential
prices in a favourable price range over the past few years: building smaller
apartments without lowering the per square foot prices across major cities.
In the past year, apart from marketing
tactics such as flexible payment schemes and on-the-spot discounts, average
apartment sizes have been falling across all major cities of India. Mumbai and
the Mumbai Metropolitan Region witnessed the largest fall in average apartment
sizes on an annualised basis at 5%, followed by Bangalore (4%), Chennai (4%)
and Pune.
Source: JLL REIS
The difference is more striking if the past
few years are considered. For example, Mumbai’s fall in apartment sizes from
2010 to date has been 26.4%. There has been a corresponding reduction in the
carpet area. For the same period, Bangalore registered a 23.7% reduction in
average apartment sizes, followed by Chennai at 22.2% and Pune at 7%.
Average unit sizes in Mumbai and Pune have
been among the lowest across all four cities in 2010 and today. The
configuration – e.g. two-bedroom-hall-kitchen – remains the same, but
developers have reduced the area to make it much more compact.
Ashutosh Limaye, National Director – Research, JLL India |
A possible reason behind this move by
developers to reduce apartment sizes could be to better suit buyers’ spending
power. Also, many urban buyers are willing to live in newer and smaller-sized
homes near their offices.
They prefer to compromise on their residential
lifestyle by having a compact home equipped with all the basic amenities
instead of spending time on long commutes.
Developers can generally change apartment
sizes prior to completing the foundation on the ground without hassles from the
plan-sanctioning city agencies.
A price correction, on the other hand, is very
market-driven. This is a good move by developers, as they have been able to
reduce prices and keep the configuration unchanged, despite rising construction
costs, approval and finance costs eating into their profits, by reducing unit
sizes.
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