Even if the festive
season sees some pick-up in interest for residential property, it will be a
long while before inventories are liquidated given how they have risen to
record highs.
Data from Propequity
show inventory in the New Delhi market has risen to 41 months this year
compared with 12 months in 2013 while for the Mumbai it is at 50 months
compared with 34 months last year.
Meanwhile, sales in
the first half of the year have dropped sharply.
About 1.67 lakh
residential units remained unsold in the National Capital Region (NCR) market,
which would take more than two years to be fully absorbed, research by Knight
Frank revealed.
The study showed a
steep 37% drop in absorption in the 6 months to June. The pile-up is even
bigger in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) market at 2.14 lakh units which,
market observes say, will take three years to sell.
Mr. Mudassir Zaidi,
National Director, Knight Frank India, observed that developers have continued
to add to supply in the hope that the market would rebound. Zaidi also
explained that demand has slowed down both from the end users as well as
investors.
While the higher
prices scared home buyers, investors have stayed away due to the weak economy,
which has deprived them of meaningful appreciation.
While a slowing
economy and drop in confidence is probably the overriding factor pulling down
sales, Chirag Negandhi, MD, Institutional Equities, Axis Capital, points out
that large unit sizes, above 3000 square feet, are proving to be a stumbling
block.
“Having sold half the
apartments in a block, it’s difficult for builders to reduce the area of the
remaining flats,” Gandhi said, adding that many dealers are, therefore, stuck
with inventory.
Mr. Om Ahuja, CEO
(Residential Services), JLL India, drew attention to the fact that much of the
market in the NCR, Noida and Greater Noida regions is driven by investors and
sees very little end-use demand, which has led to high inventory build-up.
“Prices have not
moved much over the last few years and most of the unsold stock is in Noida,
Greater Noida and Yamuna Expressway and New Gurgaon,” Mr. Om Ahuja said.
One reason for supply
outstripping demand in the MMR market, industry experts say, is that in the
past few years developers have converted land meant for commercial construction
into residential property.
Developers /
promoters believe the inventory is exaggerated. “We launch fewer units than we
plan but it is the planned numbers that gets calculated in the inventory,”
Brijesh Bhanot, director, marketing and sales at Lotus Greens, a Delhi-based
developer, told FE. Bhanot believes whatever properties are under construction
will all get sold.
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