More financial advisors are
asking their clients to make an extra `tactical allocation' to equity. They
argue that like such an allocation made to debt a year ago, this strategy would
also reward investors handsomely.
Many individuals had increased their allocation to debt a year ago
due to the bleak economic outlook.
Time the market
However, the outlook for the Indian economy has changed dramatically
in the past two weeks. Advisors believe
investors should cash in on the improved sentiment and pocket the `spectacular
returns' that the market is likely to deliver in the next few years.
However, critics point out that this strategy is nothing, but another
ploy to time the market.
“These people are not into financial planning. They are behaving like
hot money managers or / hedge fund
managers who allocate money depending on the performance of the market,“ says
Kartik Jhaveri, director, Transcend Consulting, a wealth management firm.
“They are not following any principles and their basic argument
itself is wrong.
How can they claim that their tactical allocation to debt paid off
well, when the equity mutual funds have gone up 30% to 40% last year? Those who
have stuck to their allocation to equity would be sitting back and getting
ready to enjoy the rest of the ride in the market,“ adds Jhaveri.
What about Basic Allocation..?
Mr. Suresh Sadagopan, Principal financial planner, Ladder7 Financial
Advisories, said, ''The strategy of tactical allocation does not work for most
individuals as they are grossly underinvested in equity currently . Many
individuals have pulled out money from their equity investments in the last few
years. They should be trying to get back to their original allocation plan in
the next 6 months, rather than getting carried away by such talks,“ he says.
He also dismisses the practicality of tactical allocation to equity
at this juncture.
Jhaveri says those who are going to make such an allocation have
already missed a good part of the rally. “Some the funds, especially the midcap
funds, have already delivered 50 % returns. So, when you are getting into the
market at this point of time, some of your gains are capped to a certain
extent.“
Nobody can predict the market..
“Nobody can predict the market. You may get right once or twice, but
you can also go wrong the rest of the time. That is why we ask our clients to
invest in the market only for their long-term financial goals,“ says a wealth
manager.
“We also tell them that they should not bother about a huge fall or
/ a rally because such events would happen
a few times when you are in the market for 7 or 10 years.“
Think Long-term
Jhaveri also believes that
investment principles always hold supreme, irrespective of the market
conditions.
“If a long-term goal like retirement or child's education warrants
equity investment, you must invest in stocks irrespective of the prevailing
market conditions,“ he says.
The moral of the story: If you have a plan, try to stick to it.
Src: ET
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