- By Mr. Asad Dossani, Author, The Lucrative
Derivative Report
Bitcoins have made headlines around the world due to
their increased use & popularity. Recently, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
has warned against the use of bitcoins due to risks of money laundering and
cyber security.
In response, a number of Indian bitcoin operators have
suspended operations temporarily or / closed down.
What is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is a virtual currency. It is maintained by a
network of computers that record transactions, and control the supply of
available currency.
The currency is not backed by any government, and many
users view it as an alternative to national currencies. There are a limited
number of retailers that accept bitcoins as payment, and they are often used
for cross border transactions.
Mr. Asad Dossani |
In recent months, trading in bitcoins has increased
dramatically. This has caused the value of bitcoins to be extremely volatile.
In 2011, the value of bitcoins fluctuated between $ 0.30 and $ 32. In 2013, bitcoins have peaked at over $
1,100. Today, bitcoins are trading at about $ 800. These price movements
indicate extreme volatility, much more than any other commonly traded financial
asset.
The reason for the extreme volatility is that there is
a high level of regulatory uncertainty over the use of bitcoins. In addition,
even without legal issues, there are questions as to whether companies and
individuals will actually transact using bitcoins on a large scale.
But by far the biggest hurdle is regulatory, and many
governments around the world are seeking to curb the use of bitcoins.
Does it make sense for an investor to consider
bitcoins?
Unless you want to be exposed to very high risks, it
is a bad idea to invest in bitcoins right now. This is due to the high
regulatory risk. If enough regulators curb the use of bitcoins, then the
currency would fall to zero value very quickly.
For those who are interested in bitcoins, the best
thing to do is to wait until the regulatory environment settles down. Over the
course of the next year (2014), we can expect countries to issue regulations on
virtual currencies. Once this is done, there would not be such a regulatory
risk on bitcoins, and then we can consider investing in them.
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