by Mr. Subhankar Mitra, Jones Lang
LaSalle India
The
sudden rise in the TDR price has taken the market unawares, despite the fact
that such a rise was likely because not much of TDR generation was taking
place.
Effectively,
TDR prices have now doubled, and such a steep rise was not expected. The
current price of TDR is now around Rs. 4,000 per square feet.
A close
reading of the TDR scheme from a regulatory perspective indicates that the
supply of TDR was expected to be driven largely by slum rehabilitation schemes.
Such
projects have a long gestation period &
their success is a function of diverse factors - factors which do not
always work cohesively. In other words, a regular flow of TDR from these
projects may not be always possible.
The
current TDR rate rise is the result of a slowdown of supply from such schemes,
and is also linked to performance of some of the leading developers within the
SRA projects sphere.
Another
reason for a drop in supply is the fact that developers who earlier created
projects purely to house PAPs in the Mahul Road area (south of Chembur) and
generated TDR which they sold in the open market have seen sale prices rise sufficiently
in this specific area to make a project with a sale component profitable.
Hence,
developers / promoters have stopped projects directed towards generation of
TDR.
Since the
base FSI (Floor Space Index) in the suburbs is only 1, it is a practice for
developers / promoter to load nearly 60 % TDR in the project in order to take
the FSI nearly 2. Thus, the increase in TDR cost will increase project costs.
At
present, when sales are slack and the developers are finding it difficult to
sustain prices, the additional cost are going to squeeze their margins even
further.
One way
to check further TDR price hikes would be to place more emphasis on TDR
generation through SRA schemes and other infrastructure projects. The BMC can
also consider allowing more premium FSI to be used as against TDR.
About the
author..
Mr.
Subhankar Mitra is Head (Strategic
Consulting (West)) at Jones Lang LaSalle India
For Media
Contact..
Mr. Arun
Chitnis
Head –
Corporate Communications & Media Relations
Jones
Lang LaSalle India
Level 6,
Amar Avinash Corporate Plaza
Bund
Garden Road,
Pune -
411 001.
Telephone:
020 3093 0441 Fax: 020 4019 6101
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96571 29999
Website:
www.joneslanglasalle.co.in
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www.joneslanglasalleblog.com/realestatecompass
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