Adayar, in south
Chennai, is one of the southern city's most expensive neighbourhoods.
It has given a return
on real estate investment of a whopping 110 % in the past 5 years. If you had
invested Rs .1 crore in an apartment in 2008, it would now fetch you over Rs.
2.2 crore.
But hold your breath,
analysts say prices have not peaked yet -
houses in Adayar will become even pricier over the next few years.
Mr. Deepak Parekh,
Chairman, HDFC said, "Chennai
has overtaken Mumbai in our portfolio this year" The city has not only
been a consistent performer in recent years but is also expected to boom
further. Chennai has fast developed into a manufacturing hub. Car makers such
as Ford, Hyundai & Renault-Nissan
and as well as many other industries have set up factories here. But now, we
are seeing large telecom & IT industries also making big investments
creating more opportunities in the city. All these will lead to high growth in
housing demand and prices will shoot"
Adayar is among
many such micro markets around India,
where investors could chose to invest their money now and rake in the moolah
when the tide turns.
Analysts say that if
one has the money, he or / she should
look at options such as Adayar, Baroda, Surat, Gandhinagar, Rajarhat in
Kolkata, micro markets in Pune such as Kharadi and Hinjewadi and new emerging
locations in NCR to invest as they are now available at lower prices but will
boom once the economy settles.
Mr. Sanjay Dutt,
Executive Managing Director, South Asia at Cushman & Wakefield, a real estate
consultant, which advises large builders and real estate investors. Some of
these micro markets such as Adayar and Velachery in Chennai logged the best
returns of about 100 % over the last 5 years. Places in south-central Delhi
have seen prices going up by 114 %. Pune's Koregaon Park & Aundh, where prices have risen 75 %, still
offer options for value investors.
"Though they
have been growing very fast, prices here have still not yet peaked," Mr.
Dutt adds.
In many of these
markets, ET had reported on recently, prices have softened by about 10 % in the
past 6 months. Mr. Dutt says that correction in few markets has already started
in northern cities.
"In Mumbai, we
see a possibility of correction in Lower Parel, Sewri, Kurla-Mulund belt and
Goregaon.
But these will be
short windows of opportunities and may last for a few months."
Those who invested in
real estate in these micro markets in 2008 made more money compared to
investing in stocks or / gold. Bombay
Stock Exchange's 30-share benchmark index, Sensex, rose a mere 16 % during this
period.
Gold may have given over 155 % returns over
these 5 years, but performance over the last 2
years stands at 17 % against an average 20 % to -50 % jump in property
prices.
"These property
markets, particularly Chennai, NCR &
Pune were under-priced and had to catch up with rest of the markets that
had already moved up.
Residential market
across the country has seen a steady rise in prices in the last 5 years as
demand-supply equation continued to be in favour of demand," says Mr.
Anuj Puri, Chairman, Jones Lang LaSalle India.
Mr. Anuj Puri
believes that the story of tier II and III markets such as Indore, Kochi,
Chandigarh has not panned out well and, therefore, one should continue to
consider safer markets such as Bangalore, Mumbai and National Capital Region
where there is fair amount of economic activity playing out.
"Investors and
buyers will now start dissecting the inventory data further by looking at ready
and under-construction apartments. Under-construction properties are now
available at 15% to 25 % discount as the risk is being priced in and this is a
good opportunity that needs to be looked at," Mr. Anuj Puri says. New
projects are likely to be launched at a discount, according to experts, and a
correction induced by these launches, is likely to offer a good opportunity for
buyers.
"A 10% to 15 %
correction in certain pockets of Mumbai in 3 to 6 months from now on, which is
a possibility, will be a big opportunity for buyers.
Such a correction in
a high-value market will be very large. This window of opportunity should be
grabbed immediately as it may not last for more than 3 months," said
Cushman & Wakefield's Dutt.
Mr. Sandeep Madan, a New Delhi-based high net
worth individual who invests in real estate projects, locations around Yamuna
Expressway and the stretch from Delhi airport to Najafgarh will offer best
returns over the next 5 to 7 years.
Local factors such as
growth in infrastructure, employment opportunities, saturation levels and
affordability will continue to dominate the demand scenario and this applies to
markets that have performed nicely so far as well.
According to experts,
Chennai property markets has gained on account of Telangana issue that saw many
IT companies moving from Hyderabad &
thereby pushing residential demand &
prices higher.
Locations such Adyar
have seen the emergence of an IT corridor &
the efforts of the state government for a special economic zone there.
Pune, on the other hand, is high on investors' mind in the backdrop of
ever-expensive and unaffordable Mumbai market.
Realistic property
prices in these markets have helped in fuelling demand from both endusers
& investors alike.
Mr. Ganesh Vasudevan,
Chief Executive Officer, India Property.com said,
"If you compare Chennai with Mumbai, prices are much more realistic
which has contributed to the consistent demand. Add to it the rise in
infrastructure facilities, which has prompted many companies setting up their
base here "
Src: ET
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