By Mr.
Shobhit Agarwal, Jones Lang LaSalle India
Project Costs Moving
Northward..!
While banks have
aided most real estate development in the past, the cost of debt is getting
higher by the day. The strict guidelines introduced by RBI have made real
estate lending even more expensive & cumbersome.
Currently, the costs
of key inputs for real estate development are up by minimum 7 %. This is over
and above a rise of nearly 25 % past year. Labour cost is up 10 to 15 % &
the costs of steel and cement by nearly 7 %. To add to this, funding costs have
headed north. If we look at a city such as Mumbai, the recent DCR amendments
would add to developers' costs by nearly 15 %, which includes the fungible
premium payable if the builder opts to take the additional 35 % FSI (Floor
Space Index) option.
Shobhit Agarwal, Jones Lang LaSalle India |
FDI - The
Only Feasible Option..!
Unlike most developed
economies, India does not allow REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts). Many
would point to the M & A route, but this is also a lacklustre option as it
comes at a cost of nearly 20 %.
Meanwhile, REMFs
(Real Estate Mutual Funds) - India's tentative answer to the international
REITs model, adapted to the existing Indian mutual funds platform - do not seem
to be the right answer, either. While everybody is working on entry and
creating assets, the important question of who will buy these assets to provide
an exit to the developers / investors needs to be addressed.
The leveraging
allowed in the case of Indian REITs is the lowest (at 20 % of the value)
compared to 35 % in case of Malaysia, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan &
200 % in the case of Korea. This could result in a lower yield - and because it
is not really leveraged, the risk factor is also higher.
With all these routes
being plugged because of the risk involved, FDI is clearly the only life-saver
which the real estate sector can look up to. However; the ever-changing
policies on FDI, taxation & development, coupled with a lack in
transparency in the system & a high amount of friction in approval
mechanisms, have led to an uncertainty in yields & tenure of lock-in for
investments in real estate.
Today, if a foreign
investor is willing to invest for a medium term such 5 to 6 years, he is bound
to be hesitant as it is most likely that the targeted projects would take
longer than five years to be completed. Also, foreign investors are bound to
miss out on the cream of returns, which come only after the project is in
advanced stages of development or / nearing completion.
This uncertainty of
the quantum & time of returns is the reason why most foreign investors are
currently shying away from Indian real estate sector.
FDI Is
Slowing Thanks to Low Yield And Long Gestation..!
Some international
and domestic real estate funds are still focused on investments in residential
projects in India. Luxury housing projects are out of the picture, as they are
not large enough to meet minimum size for FDI requirements.
Today, a majority of
real estate investments are targeted towards the mid-income housing segment
with unit typically priced between Rs. 50 lakh to Rs.1.5 crore. Now, even
affordable housing projects are failing to strike a chord with investors owing
to the low yield & long gestation period involved.
(Source: Department
of Industrial Policy and Promotion)
What Is
Needed To Boost FDI in Indian Real Estate?
To enable the Indian
real estate sector to meet its massive capital requirements and capitalize on
the opportunities for large-scale real estate developments, the sector needs
investor-friendly, streamlined policies from the Government.
The most important
steps would be:
·
Allowing 100 % FDI in most real estate segments (with relaxation of
certain parameters)
· Introduction of a dedicated regulatory body
· Ramping up the speed of the approval
process.
These, coupled with
increased transparency, adapting modern designs and technology for improved
project execution & timely delivery from the industry are essential for
attracting FDI back into Indian real estate.
About the author…
Mr.
Shobhit Agarwal is Managing Director (Capital Markets) at Jones Lang LaSalle
India
Shobhit Agarwal |
Managing Director – Capital Markets |
+91 22 6620 7575 |
shobhit.agarwal@ap.jll.com |
For Media Contact
Mr. Arun Chitnis
Head – Corporate
Communications & Media Relations
Jones Lang LaSalle
India,
Level 6, Amar Avinash
Corporate Plaza, Bund Garden Road,
Pune - 411 001. Telephone : 020 - 3093 0441 Fax: 020- 4019 6101
Mob: +91 96571 29999
Website:
www.joneslanglasalle.co.in
Blog:
www.joneslanglasalleblog.com/realestatecompass
No comments:
Post a Comment