Top 10 Safe Stocks to invest in RGESS Scheme by Microsec..!


Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme (RGESS), a union government initiative to bring new retail investors to the share market, will be launched yesterday by Finance Minister Mr. P Chidambaram.

New Retail Investor..!

The income tax saving scheme is for 'new retail investor' whose gross total income is less than or equal to Rs.10 lakh. Investment in the scheme can be done directly or / through mutual funds.

As per the scheme structure, investments can be made in BSE - 100, CNX 100 group shares, Navratna, Maharatna, Miniratna public sector undertakings and the initial public offers of PSUs.

There will be a lock-in period of 3 years. But, it allow after one year, sale of shares and it will be repurchase before the lock-in period of 3 years.

Meanwhile MicrosecResearch has identified & recommended RGESS investors 10 safe blue chip share which can give about 20 % annualized returns in 3 years:

Aditya Birla Nuvo..!:

We see strong growth in almost all major segments. Any positive policy framework (both on telecom and financial sectors front) shall be key triggers for the stock.

Due to diversified nature of the firm, the share does not get a high PE rating. However, any demerger or / restructure of business verticals can trigger a very strong upward movement in the stock.

At current market price, ABNL is trading at FY 13 E and FY 14 E, P / E multiple of 12.3x and 10.1x.

Bharti Airtel..!

The emerging regulatory clarity is likely to be positive for the Indian telecom sector. Bharti Airtel, being the leader in the space, will remain the key beneficiary of the same, in our view.

Bharti Airtel is currently trading at EV/EBIDTA of 8.13x, which is lower than its peer group average.

We believe that at current valuations, the company is attractively priced & can be a good investment bet from a long term perspective.

Coal India..!

Availability of rakes / day has improved substantially from CY 12, which will aid in solving the logistics bottlenecks. The targeted sales volume by CIL requires 193 rakes / day in FY 13 E.

For the first 2 months of FY 13, actual availability has been 182 rakes / day. The proposed benefit sharing framework under the new Bill will increase the tax incidence on the mining entities which intends to levy a tax of  26 % on coal mining profits. But this will help Coal india take the benefit of getting the forest clearance faster.

 Hindustan Unilever..!

HUL has strong brand leadership with No.1 position in segments such as soaps, haircare, homecare, laundry, skin care, deodorants etc. and No.2 position in oral care and tea which clearly denotes its strong brand leadership.

Palm oil prices have lost 22 % so far this year and are further expected to be weaker because of a record build-up in Malaysian stocks. This in turn is expected to improve the EBITDA margin of HUL going forward.

Engineers India..!

EIL is trading at FY13 E and FY14E, P / E multiple of 12.2 x and 10.2 x, respectively.

Historically in the past three years, EIL has traded at one year forward P / E band of 15.2 x. Government's announcement of Cabinet Committee on Infrastructure where they are likely to review 47 projects, indicates that the government has realized the severe slow-down in the capex cycle & the need to revive investment cycle in the hydro-carbon space.

With reform announcements here to stay, increased activity in the Hydro-Carbons vertical and given the strong market position of EIL in this vertical, we are confident that for any revival in this space, EIL would be the biggest beneficiary.

Larsen and Toubro..!

L & T is the best play on domestic industrial and infrastructure recovery with sustained competitive and scalability advantage that separates it from the rest.

While we expect L & T to meet FY 13 E growth guidance, sale of non-core business and revival of non-infrastructure businesses over next 2 to 3 years would be key value drivers.

The stock currently trades at a P / E of 18.8 x  and 16.1 x its FY 13 E and FY 14 E earnings respectively on a consolidated basis. With encouraging guidance in its order intake and sales growth for FY 13 in this tough market condition, we recommend buy on the stock.

 LIC Housing Finance..!

Despite an overall slowdown in industry due to high mortgage rates & high price level specially in Tier 1 cities, LIC Housing Finance (LIC HFL) has still been able to grow at higher rate than industry & increased its market share.

The outstanding mortgage portfolio of the company in FY12 was Rs. 63,080 crores as against Rs. 51,090 crores in FY11, registered a growth of 23.47 %.

The share of developer loan has declined to 5 % in FY12 from 10.9 % in FY10.

However, the management expects to bring its loan book back to its historical level. The company's move is likely to improve business margins. Generally, developer loans yield are 3 to 4 % higher as compared with the individual home loans.

NMDC..!

NMDC's realizations are expected to improve due to its shift to import parity price mechanism from net back pricing mechanism to match the international benchmarked iron ore prices.

So far, NMDC's domestic iron ore prices were at more than 100 % discount to the international benchmark prices. The difference in both the prices has come down to 50 % at $ 80 per tonne.

Tata Chemicals...!

On account of the strong urea demand scenario along with the assurance of 12 to 20% post tax return from government, Tata Chemicals is likely to double its urea capacity at Babrala unit at an estimated cost of $ 85 crore that may help to generate stable cash flow.
The plant may commission in 3 years.

Tata Chemicals is currently trading at P / E of 10.9. We believe that at current valuations, the company is attractively priced and can be good investment bet from long term perspective. However, erratic monsoon and adverse global scenario impede our optimism a bit.

Tata Consultancy Services..!

Key number to pick from TCS' Q3 FY 2013 results was the attrition level of 11.2 %. The reported attrition level is the lowest in its peer group. Additionally, the company is consistently reporting ex-trainees utilization levels of above 80 % since Q3 FY2010.

In addition, these factors helped TCS to sustain its operating margins above 26 % levels since then.

In Q3 FY 2013, TCS announced dividend of Rs. 3 per share, which was its 34th consecutive quarterly dividend. The company's initiatives to reward shareholders provide its investors consistent periodical returns.

For More Details Contact
 Microsec Capital Limited
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Phone: +91 22 2285 5544 (4 Lines), Fax: +91 22 2285 5548.
           
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Email:care.ck@microsec.in

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